BALDWIN, MARK EDWARD
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P40021297- Internal id
3aa0bb7c-cf38-4a42-a387-39452fb19d10
Elections
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β lost_general
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
Committees
- THE BALDWIN COMMITTEE FOR THE ERADICATION OF COMMUNISM β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | THE BALDWIN COMMITTEE FOR THE ERADICATION OF COMMUNISM | β | candidate_committees |