pac.dog pac.dog / Candidates

AGGARWALA, KARAN R GREGG MR PHD

OTHER Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P40021594
Internal id
c5848132-8abd-4be2-8c49-5f19c9d611a0
Status
challenger

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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