SIVAK, LACEY MARK
OTHER Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P60003183- Internal id
c56a7fa7-195b-4c35-9445-094e4082412c- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $1 | $1 | $0 | $2,185 | $0 |
| 1998 | $0 | $0 | $185 | $0 | $0 |
| 1996 | $215 | $200 | $185 | $0 | $15 |
Elections
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 1996 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
Committees
- LACEY SIVAK FOR PRESIDENT IN 1996 β principal Β· type P
- LACEY SIVAK FOR PRESIDENT IN 2000 β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LACEY SIVAK FOR PRESIDENT IN 1996 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | LACEY SIVAK FOR PRESIDENT IN 2000 | β | candidate_committees |