LUGAR, RICHARD G

R · president

FEC candidate id: P60003266
Internal id: 38ad3b9e-1a16-48c1-ad13-45ca93522e7f
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2004	$6	$25,158	$0	$0	$0
2002	$8,554	$96,000	$25,151	$0	$0
2000	$5,526	$1,953	$112,593	$0	$0
1998	$91,677	$83,452	$110,373	$0	$0
1996	$9,900,938	$9,799,081	$102,333	$102,500	$4,935,950

Elections

1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running

Committees

LUGAR FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE INC — principal · type P
LUGAR FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE LEGAL AND ACCOUNTING COMPLIANCE FUND — principal · type P
LUGAR FOR PRESIDENT-AUDIT FUND — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	LUGAR FOR PRESIDENT-AUDIT FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	LUGAR FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE LEGAL AND ACCOUNTING COMPLIANCE FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	LUGAR FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE INC	—	candidate_committees

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