GRAVEL, MIKE
L Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P60004751- Internal id
b14d8d54-04c1-4826-bb85-97d84f87634d- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $0 | $46 | $339 | $14,701 | $0 |
| 2010 | $116,219 | $171,874 | $385 | $14,701 | $0 |
| 2008 | $583,580 | $530,809 | $56,040 | $146,072 | $477,825 |
| 2006 | $92,702 | $89,433 | $3,269 | $69,100 | $23,552 |
Elections
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
Committees
- MIKE GRAVEL FOR PRESIDENT 2008 β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE GRAVEL FOR PRESIDENT 2008 | β | candidate_committees |