CAMPBELL, JOHNNIE C

D · president

FEC candidate id: P60005147
Internal id: 49405a1d-ac37-4f98-9cf4-875679cd58ce
Status: challenger

Elections

2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

17 11 JE 2060 FOR JOHNNIE CAMPBELL — principal · type P
JOHNNIE C CAMPBELL — principal · type P
JOHNNIE CAMPBELL 4 PRESIDENT 2020 — principal · type P
JOHNNIE FOR PRESIDENT — principal · type P
UP — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (5)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JOHNNIE FOR PRESIDENT	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	17 11 JE 2060 FOR JOHNNIE CAMPBELL	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	UP	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	JOHNNIE CAMPBELL 4 PRESIDENT 2020	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	JOHNNIE C CAMPBELL	—	candidate_committees

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