LAW, JAMES T
OTHER Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P60005287- Internal id
b79faf00-9b9e-4ad6-b981-a8faf6b374f7- Status
- open seat
Elections
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
Committees
- JAMES T LAW FOR A NEW AND BETTER AMERICA 2016 β principal Β· type P
- LET US ELECT JAMES T LAW FOR PRESIDENT 2016 β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JAMES T LAW FOR A NEW AND BETTER AMERICA 2016 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | LET US ELECT JAMES T LAW FOR PRESIDENT 2016 | β | candidate_committees |