RUBIO, MARCO

R · president

FEC candidate id: P60006723
Internal id: cdb487d5-2ee9-4d19-ba0d-73a40d1e7146
Status: open seat

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$3,610	$827,657	$0
2024	$0	$0	$3,610	$827,657	$0
2022	$1,388	$882	$3,610	$827,657	$769
2020	$57,500	$59,380	$3,105	$827,657	$0
2018	$339,202	$446,832	$4,985	$877,657	$1,090
2016	$48,331,862	$51,557,702	$112,614	$1,197,657	$45,362,309

Elections

2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running

Committees

MARCO RUBIO FOR PRESIDENT — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-30	COZEN O'CONNOR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-1,000
2022-10-27	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$-2,500
2022-10-27	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$2,500
2022-09-07	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$2,500
2022-06-23	NATIONAL ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION POL…	24K	$-2,500
2022-06-14	NATIONAL READY MIXED CONCRETE ASSN. PAC (CONCRE…	24K	$2,500
2022-06-03	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL…	24K	$3,000
2022-06-01	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2022-05-25	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL…	24K	$-3,000
2022-04-06	THE MOSAIC COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (…	24K	$1,500
2022-02-28	MAYNARD NEXSEN PAC	24K	$1,500
2022-02-28	MAYNARD NEXSEN PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-01-25	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BENEFITS AND INSURANCE …	24K	$1,500
2021-12-29	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL…	24K	$3,000
2021-12-28	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL…	24K	$-1,000
2021-12-22	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,500
2021-12-13	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$1,500
2021-09-16	COZEN O'CONNOR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2021-08-16	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$2,500
2021-08-16	MORAN TOWING CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	24K	$2,500
2021-07-16	NCTA - THE INTERNET & TELEVISION ASSOCIATION PO…	24K	$5,000
2021-06-25	MAYNARD NEXSEN PAC	24K	$2,500
2021-06-23	SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC	24K	$3,500
2021-06-22	NATIONAL READY MIXED CONCRETE ASSN. PAC (CONCRE…	24K	$2,000
2021-06-21	FLORIDA CITRUS MUTUAL POLITCAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (30)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-12-30	COZEN O'CONNOR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (EXXONMOBIL PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-27	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (EXXONMOBIL PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-09-07	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (EXXONMOBIL PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-23	NATIONAL ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-06-14	NATIONAL READY MIXED CONCRETE ASSN. PAC (CONCRETEPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-03	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-06-01	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-25	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-3,000	pas2
2022-04-06	THE MOSAIC COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MOSAICPAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-02-28	MAYNARD NEXSEN PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-02-28	MAYNARD NEXSEN PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-01-25	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BENEFITS AND INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS PAC (NABIP PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-12-29	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2021-12-28	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2021-12-22	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-12-13	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (EXXONMOBIL PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-09-16	COZEN O'CONNOR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-08-16	MORAN TOWING CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-08-16	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-07-16	NCTA - THE INTERNET & TELEVISION ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCTAPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-25	MAYNARD NEXSEN PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-23	SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2021-06-22	NATIONAL READY MIXED CONCRETE ASSN. PAC (CONCRETEPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-06-21	FLORIDA CITRUS MUTUAL POLITCAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-15	BACARDI U S A INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-08	NCTA - THE INTERNET & TELEVISION ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCTAPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-05-21	COZEN O'CONNOR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-04-27	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-02-19	JONES WALKER L.L.P. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MARCO RUBIO FOR PRESIDENT	—		candidate_committees

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