PIATT, MARTY

R · president

FEC candidate id: P60007283
Internal id: cc479566-e35b-464b-a15a-805d64f9a868
Status: challenger

Elections

2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE — principal · type P
MARTY PIATT FOR U.S. PRESIDENT CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MARTY PIATT FOR U.S. PRESIDENT CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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