BIDEN, JR., JOSEPH R.
D Β· president
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
P60012465- Internal id
f60fca85-b2b5-4335-9344-f6aba5f89e0c- Status
- open seat
Elections
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $162,439 | $15,483 | 8 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-31 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | support | $118,719 | Payroll, Employer taxes and fees Canvassing and Liturature β¦ |
| 2024-03-06 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | support | $10,000 | Emails and text messages supporting the campaign of Biden |
| 2024-02-26 | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | oppose | $15,483 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-14 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | support | $8,000 | Emails and text in support of President Biden |
| 2024-01-30 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | support | $10,000 | Emails and text messages highlighting the campaign of Biden |
| 2023-12-12 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | support | $3,720 | Emails Supporting reelection of Biden |
| 2023-11-07 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | support | $500 | Email soliciting funds to support Biden |
| 2023-10-10 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | support | $11,500 | emails and texts messageshighlighting the campaign of Presi⦠|
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-31 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | supports_independently | $118,719 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-06 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-26 | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | opposes_independently | $15,483 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-14 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | supports_independently | $8,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-30 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-12-12 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | supports_independently | $3,720 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-11-07 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | supports_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-10-10 | BLUEWAVEAMERICA | supports_independently | $11,500 | fec_ies |