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DAMMEN, KHALEB IAN

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P60024064
Internal id
daa27660-3d51-4a5a-9223-fab8ac5a91e3

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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β€”principal_candidate_ofDAMMEN FOR PRESIDENT 2036β€”candidate_committees

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