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SAIDE, AHMAD

OTHER Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P60024288
Internal id
40ce23e8-4bdc-4132-b8c8-d54a22f31b6e
Status
challenger

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofAHMAD SAIDE JRβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofPAY MONEY COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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