KERRY, JOHN F

D · president

FEC candidate id: P80000235
Internal id: eb7dc50d-8f9d-4e3b-ae6b-554c55c0ceb5
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2010	$0	$14,408	$0	$0	$0
2008	$2,369,636	$14,866,994	$14,408	$0	$0
2006	$9,882,341	$16,164,690	$12,511,766	$0	$13,457
2004	$348,446,376	$332,736,096	$18,794,156	$4,718,175	$226,499,755
2002	$3,151,898	$68,022	$3,083,876	$0	$495,398

Elections

1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running

Committees

AMERICANS FOR PEACE THROUGH JUSTICE — independent · type U
AUTHORS AND ILLUSTRATORS FOR CHILDREN — independent · type N
CHANGE IN '04 — independent · type U
CITIZENS CONCERNED FOR AMERICA'S FUTURE — independent · type U
COLORADO VOTES KERRY — independent · type U
CONCERNED HUNGARIAN AMERICANS PAC — independent · type U
DESIGNS ON THE WHITE HOUSE ORGANIZATION — independent · type U
HISPANICS FOR AMERICA — independent · type U
JO SANDY AND DIANA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE — independent · type U
JOHN KERRY FOR PRESIDENT INC — principal · type P
KERRY VICTORY 2004 — joint_fundraising · type Q
KERRY-EDWARDS 2004 INC — principal · type P
KERRY-EDWARDS 2004, INC. GENERAL ELECTION LEGAL AND ACCOUNTING COMPLIANCE FUND — principal · type P
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA DEMOCRATS — independent · type U
POWER OF WOMEN FOR CHANGE, THE — independent · type I
REPUBLICANS FOR CHANGE 2004 — independent · type U
RUTHERFORD COUNTY VOLUNTEERS FOR KERRY EDWARDS — independent · type U
SKYPAC — independent · type U
SOUTH HAVEN AREA DEMOCRATIC CLUB POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE — independent · type U
SWING STATE AGGIES — independent · type U
VETERAN'S FOR KERRY-EDWARDS ALL-OVER-TEXAS BUS CARAVANS TO EL PASO AND SAN DIEGO — independent · type U
VETERANS FOR JUSTICE — principal · type N
VICTORY FOR DEMOCRATS IN 2004 — independent · type N
VIETNAM EXPOWS INC — independent · type N
VIETNAM VETS FOR THE TRUTH LLC — independent · type U
VOTERS FOR CHANGE — independent · type U
WALK BACK THE WHITE HOUSE — independent · type U
WAUWATOSA CITIZENS FOR POLITICAL CHANGE — independent · type U
WEST VIRGINIA PHYSICIANS FOR KERRY-EDWARDS — independent · type U

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (29)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	COLORADO VOTES KERRY	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	DESIGNS ON THE WHITE HOUSE ORGANIZATION	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	CHANGE IN '04	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	VETERAN'S FOR KERRY-EDWARDS ALL-OVER-TEXAS BUS CARAVANS TO EL PASO AND SAN DIEGO	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	WAUWATOSA CITIZENS FOR POLITICAL CHANGE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	WEST VIRGINIA PHYSICIANS FOR KERRY-EDWARDS	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	CITIZENS CONCERNED FOR AMERICA'S FUTURE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	VOTERS FOR CHANGE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	VICTORY FOR DEMOCRATS IN 2004	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	SWING STATE AGGIES	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	AUTHORS AND ILLUSTRATORS FOR CHILDREN	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	VIETNAM VETS FOR THE TRUTH LLC	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	CONCERNED HUNGARIAN AMERICANS PAC	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	REPUBLICANS FOR CHANGE 2004	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	SOUTH HAVEN AREA DEMOCRATIC CLUB POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	SKYPAC	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	POWER OF WOMEN FOR CHANGE, THE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	JO SANDY AND DIANA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	AMERICANS FOR PEACE THROUGH JUSTICE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	WALK BACK THE WHITE HOUSE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	HISPANICS FOR AMERICA	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA DEMOCRATS	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	RUTHERFORD COUNTY VOLUNTEERS FOR KERRY EDWARDS	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	VIETNAM EXPOWS INC	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	KERRY VICTORY 2004	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	JOHN KERRY FOR PRESIDENT INC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	KERRY-EDWARDS 2004 INC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	KERRY-EDWARDS 2004, INC. GENERAL ELECTION LEGAL AND ACCOUNTING COMPLIANCE FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	VETERANS FOR JUSTICE	—	candidate_committees

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