MESSIAH, (FREDDY IRWIN SITNICK)
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P80000730- Internal id
a5874019-f7fd-4a67-bf95-a56e275e739b- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2004 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $0 | $10,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $6,000 | $12,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1996 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $6,700 | $6,700 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1988 | $55,315 | $40,500 | $0 | $0 | $2,283,908 |
Elections
- 1988 general president β running
- 1988 general president β running
- 1988 general president β running
- 1988 general president β running
- 1992 general president β running
- 1992 general president β running
- 1992 general president β running
- 1992 general president β running
- 1992 general president β running
- 1992 general president β running
- 1992 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2004 general president β running
- 2004 general president β running
- 2004 general president β running
- 2004 general president β running
- 2004 general president β running
- 2004 general president β running
- 2004 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
Committees
- GODSSON - MESSIAH FOR PRESIDENT OF U S A β principal Β· type P
- MESSIAH FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MESSIAH FOR PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | GODSSON - MESSIAH FOR PRESIDENT OF U S A | β | candidate_committees |