QUAYLE, DAN

R · president

FEC candidate id: P80002587
Internal id: b2135a94-8e80-49e7-97a0-146ae0482a7b
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2004	$46,142	$84,456	$0	$0	$0
2002	$12,768	$294,037	$38,314	$3,882	$0
2000	$7,888,000	$7,568,411	$319,584	$1,567	$4,152,275
1994	$0	$18,237	$0	$0	$0
1992	$1,279	$781	$18,238	$0	$0
1990	$1,879	$6,355	$17,743	$0	$0
1988	$72,994	$50,776	$0	$0	$49,357

Elections

1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1988 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running

Committees

QUAYLE 2000 COMPLIANCE COMMITTEE — principal · type P
QUAYLE 2000 INC — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	QUAYLE 2000 COMPLIANCE COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	QUAYLE 2000 INC	—		candidate_committees

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