MCCAIN, JOHN S.

R · president

FEC candidate id: P80002801
Internal id: 638f7152-7d70-4d05-8e47-b3cfc3ccd169
Status: open seat

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2014	$561,977	$1,530,431	$589,971	$0	$0
2012	$962,244	$11,106,608	$1,558,426	$6,351	$0
2010	$5,852,742	$20,527,793	$11,702,790	$0	$29,323
2008	$399,826,087	$373,920,701	$26,377,840	$1,603,974	$205,940,483
2006	$1,711,053	$1,238,599	$472,454	$335,019	$650,386
2002	$287,112	$370,969	$2,406	$0	$50
2000	$58,636,230	$58,549,970	$86,262	$28,306	$28,677,082
1998	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0

Elections

2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running

Committees

A WOMAN VICE PRESIDENT COMMITTEE — independent · type U
ALASKANS FOR REFORM — independent · type U
CALIFORNIA 2008 GOP DELEGATION — independent · type D
CITIZENS FOR TRUTH — independent · type U
COMMITTEE ELECTION FOR PRESIDENCY OF THE USA '08 FOR JOHN MCCAIN FROM AMERS OF POLISH DS — independent · type U
COMMITTEE TO DRAFT JOHN MCCAIN — independent · type U
DRAFT MCCAIN 2000 — independent · type U
JOHN MCCAIN 2008 INC. — principal · type P
MCCAIN 2000 COMPLIANCE COMMITTEE INC — principal · type P
MCCAIN 2000 ILLINOIS DELEGATE COMMITTEE — independent · type D
MCCAIN 2000 INC — principal · type P
MCCAIN VICTORY 2008 — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCAIN VICTORY CALIFORNIA — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCAIN VICTORY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type Q
MCCAIN VICTORY FLORIDA — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCAIN VICTORY KENTUCKY — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCAIN VICTORY OHIO — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCAIN'S NAVY TO DRAFT JOHN MCCAIN FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 — independent · type U
MCCAIN-PALIN 2008 INC — principal · type P
MCCAIN-PALIN COMPLIANCE FUND INC. — principal · type P
MCCAIN-PALIN VICTORY 2008 — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCAIN-PALIN VICTORY CALIFORNIA — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCAIN-PALIN VICTORY MICHIGAN — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCAIN-PALIN VICTORY OHIO — joint_fundraising · type N
MCHENRY COUNTY REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE — independent · type U
MINNESOTA CONSERVATIVE DELEGATE TEAM — independent · type D
NOJOHN.COM — independent · type U
NY DELEGATES VICTORY FUND — independent · type D
VIETNAM VETERANS AGAINST JOHN MCCAIN — independent · type U

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (29)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	COMMITTEE TO DRAFT JOHN MCCAIN	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	CALIFORNIA 2008 GOP DELEGATION	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	ALASKANS FOR REFORM	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	DRAFT MCCAIN 2000	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	MINNESOTA CONSERVATIVE DELEGATE TEAM	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	MCCAIN 2000 ILLINOIS DELEGATE COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	COMMITTEE ELECTION FOR PRESIDENCY OF THE USA '08 FOR JOHN MCCAIN FROM AMERS OF POLISH DS	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	CITIZENS FOR TRUTH	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	NY DELEGATES VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	VIETNAM VETERANS AGAINST JOHN MCCAIN	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	NOJOHN.COM	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	MCHENRY COUNTY REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	A WOMAN VICE PRESIDENT COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	independent_committee_of	MCCAIN'S NAVY TO DRAFT JOHN MCCAIN FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN VICTORY 2008	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN VICTORY KENTUCKY	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN VICTORY COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN-PALIN VICTORY OHIO	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN-PALIN VICTORY MICHIGAN	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN VICTORY OHIO	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN VICTORY FLORIDA	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN-PALIN VICTORY 2008	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN-PALIN VICTORY CALIFORNIA	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCAIN VICTORY CALIFORNIA	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MCCAIN 2000 COMPLIANCE COMMITTEE INC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MCCAIN-PALIN COMPLIANCE FUND INC.	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	JOHN MCCAIN 2008 INC.	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MCCAIN 2000 INC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MCCAIN-PALIN 2008 INC	—	candidate_committees

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