TANCREDO, THOMAS GERALD
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P80003429- Internal id
692e9433-5652-49df-8304-cb927e2b0685- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $112,458 | $260,574 | $1,923 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $8,457,249 | $8,348,767 | $138,482 | $0 | $4,032,259 |
| 2006 | $30,000 | $0 | $30,000 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
Committees
- TANCREDO FOR A SECURE AMERICA β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | TANCREDO FOR A SECURE AMERICA | β | candidate_committees |