SHEPARD, JACK EDWARD
D Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P80004021- Internal id
d72f83dd-1fe2-401f-b4c8-88ca4183a9e3- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $20,000 | $0 | $19,846 | $4,500 | $0 |
| 2008 | $31,925 | $5,675 | $26,247 | $0 | $925 |
Elections
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
Committees
- JACK SHEPARD FOR PRESIDENT EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JACK SHEPARD FOR PRESIDENT EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |