BLOOMBERG, MICHAEL
I Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P80004740- Internal id
b230dc2d-8427-4827-bccd-c3ad6b7d547c- Status
- open seat
Elections
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO DRAFT AND SPONSOR MICHAEL BLOOMBERG FOR PRESIDENT β independent Β· type U
- DRAFT BLOOMBERG 2008 β independent Β· type U
- DRAFT BLOOMBERG JOINT FUNDRAISING COMMITTEE (JFC) β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | DRAFT BLOOMBERG 2008 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | independent_committee_of | COMMITTEE TO DRAFT AND SPONSOR MICHAEL BLOOMBERG FOR PRESIDENT | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | DRAFT BLOOMBERG JOINT FUNDRAISING COMMITTEE (JFC) | β | candidate_committees |