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SHIMP, FOGEL G

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P80008808
Internal id
47d5a6b6-3a47-4740-8ce2-3225199d05e9

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$0$0$0$0

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofSHIMP FOR PRESIDENTβ€”candidate_committees

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