CONLIN, ROXANNE BARTON
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S0IA00127- Internal id
78afe74d-a21d-453b-9897-87fb137bdac1- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Iowa. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 3,210,507 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,059 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,877 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.444 |
| Race | White alone | 84.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 61.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.36 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $208,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $972 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $51,759 | $80,574 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $3,152,122 | $3,123,307 | $28,815 | $500,000 | $2,031,408 |
Elections
- 2010 general senate Β· IA-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· IA-S β running
- 2010 general senate Β· IA-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· IA-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· IA-S β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER FUTURE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- ROXANNE CONLIN FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER FUTURE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROXANNE CONLIN FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |