HILL, BARON P

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S0IN00061
Internal id: 1ae0cf94-bc08-433e-b0b6-40447b14a20c
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Indiana. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	6,851,073
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$71,957
Income	Per-capita income	$38,351
Income	In poverty	12.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.452
Race	White alone	77.1%
Race	Black alone	9.2%
Race	Asian alone	2.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.6%
Race	Two or more races	7.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	5.5%
Education	High school or higher	62.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	29.5%
Education	Advanced degree	10.8%
Household	Family households	63.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.46
Household	Never married (15+)	32.0%
Housing	Median home value	$218,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,062
Housing	Single-family detached	72.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.2%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	8.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.3%
Health	With a disability	14.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.6%
Commute	Drove alone	76.3%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	10.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,061	$8,129	$47,404	$0	$0
2024	$4,157	$32,794	$54,472	$0	$0
2022	$387	$23,799	$83,109	$0	$0
2020	$489	$55,865	$105,467	$0	$0
2018	$154	$74,861	$160,843	$0	$0
2016	$1,386,202	$1,150,649	$235,551	$0	$1,016,063
1992	$59,878	$65,208	$0	$3,137	$44,541
1990	$1,081,327	$1,075,998	$5,329	$16,194	$543,113

Elections

1990 general senate · IN-S — running
1990 general senate · IN-S — running
1990 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
1990 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
1992 general senate · IN-S — running
1992 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
1992 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
1992 general senate · IN-S — running
1992 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
1992 general senate · IN-S — running
1992 general senate · IN-S — running
1992 general senate · IN-S — running
1992 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · IN-S — running
2016 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · IN-S — running
2016 general senate · IN-S — running
2016 general senate · IN-S — running
2016 general senate · IN-S — running
2016 general senate · IN-S — running
2016 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · IN-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · IN-S — running

Committees

BARON HILL FOR INDIANA — principal · type S
HOOSIERS FOR COMMON SENSE — joint_fundraising · type N

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	HOOSIERS FOR COMMON SENSE	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	BARON HILL FOR INDIANA	—		candidate_committees

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