CONWAY, JOHN WILLIAM (JACK)
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S0KY00123- Internal id
ab16fa30-a61d-4b37-af1b-9c7c9ce97682- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Kentucky. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 4,534,824 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $63,726 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,821 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 82.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.3% |
| Household | Family households | 63.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.43 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $205,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $967 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $13,593 | $22,922 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $45,236 | $55,374 | $9,329 | $396,499 | $23,468 |
| 2010 | $6,120,252 | $6,127,990 | $19,468 | $722,358 | $4,972,440 |
Elections
- 2010 general senate Β· KY-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· KY-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· KY-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· KY-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· KY-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· KY-S β lost_general
Committees
- 2010 SENATE VICTORY β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER FUTURE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- CONWAY FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
- KENTUCKY/NORTH CAROLINA VICTORY β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- MICHIGAN CITIZENS FOR A SAFE ISRAEL 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- SENATE 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (6)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KENTUCKY/NORTH CAROLINA VICTORY | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2010 SENATE VICTORY | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MICHIGAN CITIZENS FOR A SAFE ISRAEL 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER FUTURE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CONWAY FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |