KENNEDY, JOSEPH P III

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S0MA00208
Internal id: e08bd4b4-e527-42f1-b1d2-d1f73dcda04b
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Massachusetts. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	7,044,056
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$103,960
Income	Per-capita income	$57,897
Income	In poverty	10.0%
Income	Unemployed	5.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.489
Race	White alone	68.6%
Race	Black alone	6.8%
Race	Asian alone	7.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	13.3%
Race	Two or more races	11.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	18.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	74.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	9.7%
Education	High school or higher	69.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	47.3%
Education	Advanced degree	21.8%
Household	Family households	62.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.44
Household	Never married (15+)	37.7%
Housing	Median home value	$562,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,762
Housing	Single-family detached	51.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.3%
Housing	Vacant units	8.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.3%
Health	With a disability	12.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.2%
Commute	Drove alone	61.2%
Commute	Public transit	6.5%
Commute	Worked from home	18.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$336,356	$349,349	$0	$0	$1,000
2020	$11,400,834	$15,561,023	$12,992	$250,000	$8,544,093

Elections

2020 general senate · MA-S — running
2020 general senate · MA-S — lost_general
2020 general senate · MA-S — lost_general
2020 general senate · MA-S — lost_general
2020 general senate · MA-S — lost_general

Committees

KENNEDY FOR MASSACHUSETTS — principal · type S
KENNEDY FOR MASSACHUSETTS — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-07-29	CITIZENS FOR BOYLE	24K	$10,001
2022-03-21	150PAC.ORG	24K	$1,000
2021-11-02	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$-500
2021-10-27	DELL TECHNOLOGIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$-5,000
2021-10-25	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	24K	$-1,000
2021-01-19	MIDDLE CLASS AMERICA PAC	24K	$1,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (6)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-07-29	CITIZENS FOR BOYLE	contributed_to	$10,001	pas2
2022-03-21	150PAC.ORG	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-11-02	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENERAL DYNAMICS EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2021-10-27	DELL TECHNOLOGIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2021-10-25	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2021-01-19	MIDDLE CLASS AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	KENNEDY FOR MASSACHUSETTS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	KENNEDY FOR MASSACHUSETTS	—		candidate_committees

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