WELLSTONE, PAUL DAVID
D Β· senate Β· bioguide W000288
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- FEC candidate id
S0MN00013- Internal id
6b244705-4166-467c-99f7-1199a09a7a62- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Minnesota. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 5,739,445 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $89,062 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $48,237 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 77.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.8% |
| Household | Family households | 62.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.43 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $329,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,280 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $710,901 | $724,478 | $154 | $0 | $165 |
| 2002 | $12,631,608 | $12,617,876 | $13,732 | $0 | $11,699,925 |
| 1996 | $5,991,013 | $5,979,224 | $66,889 | $35,749 | $5,288,600 |
| 1994 | $875,241 | $823,533 | $55,099 | $0 | $867,915 |
| 1992 | $661,704 | $657,121 | $3,390 | $23,670 | $504,559 |
| 1990 | $1,401,706 | $1,380,560 | $21,146 | $118,184 | $1,072,075 |
Elections
- 1990 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 1990 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 1990 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 1990 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 1996 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 1996 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 1996 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 1996 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 1996 general senate Β· MN-S β won
- 2002 general senate Β· MN-S β running
- 2002 general senate Β· MN-S β lost_general
- 2002 general senate Β· MN-S β lost_general
Committees
- JOHNSON WELLSTONE EVENT COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- WELLSTONE FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | JOHNSON WELLSTONE EVENT COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | WELLSTONE FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |