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SMITH, ERICA DANETTE

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S0NC00343
Internal id
65f8bf24-a0b3-4473-a3c1-5bff833d94df
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), North Carolina. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation10,730,404
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$72,388
IncomePer-capita income$41,385
IncomeIn poverty13.0%
IncomeUnemployed4.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.477
RaceWhite alone61.8%
RaceBlack alone20.3%
RaceAsian alone3.3%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.3%
RaceTwo or more races8.3%
OriginForeign-born9.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home86.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.7%
EducationHigh school or higher60.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.6%
EducationAdvanced degree13.5%
HouseholdFamily households64.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.44
HouseholdNever married (15+)32.9%
HousingMedian home value$288,900
HousingMedian gross rent$1,228
HousingSingle-family detached65.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.2%
HousingVacant units12.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.4%
HealthWith a disability13.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.5%
CommuteDrove alone71.5%
CommutePublic transit0.7%
CommuteWorked from home16.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$0$4,894$91,970$0
2024$0$17,309$4,894$91,970$0
2022$960,473$957,601$22,203$92,523$773,545
2020$239,740$220,409$19,331$4,294$230,240

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$600,384$08

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-05-17WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$560Texting
2022-05-13WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$60,140TV Ads
2022-05-12WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$131,350TV Ads
2022-05-11WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$68,400TV Ads
2022-05-11WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$2,500Phone Calls
2022-05-06WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$269,934TV Ads
2022-05-05WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$17,500Phone Calls
2022-04-29WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$50,000Phone Calls

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-05-11WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC24E$2,500
2021-06-28NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEE24K$20

Connected on the graph

Inbound (10)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-05-17WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$560fec_ies
2022-05-13WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$60,140fec_ies
2022-05-12WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$131,350fec_ies
2022-05-11WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$2,500fec_ies
2022-05-11WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$68,400fec_ies
2022-05-11WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-05-06WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$269,934fec_ies
2022-05-05WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$17,500fec_ies
2022-04-29WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$50,000fec_ies
2021-06-28NEIGHBORS FOR CANO COMMITTEEcontributed_to$20pas2

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”independent_committee_ofFLIP THE SENATE PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofERICA FOR USβ€”candidate_committees

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