SMITH, ROBERT
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S0NH00144- Internal id
bbb768c5-06a5-4616-be8b-84a7a4a89344- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New Hampshire. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,394,868 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,031 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $52,798 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.444 |
| Race | White alone | 87.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.1% |
| Household | Family households | 64.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $402,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,491 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $45,970 | $52,987 | $0 | $0 | $35,069 |
| 2014 | $579,163 | $572,148 | $7,016 | $27,502 | $566,396 |
| 2004 | $9,406 | $47,885 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $3,616,574 | $4,288,922 | $38,479 | $0 | $2,719,125 |
| 2000 | $861,462 | $272,100 | $710,828 | $0 | $351,668 |
| 1998 | $38,890 | $107,758 | $121,465 | $0 | $12,019 |
| 1996 | $1,708,376 | $1,718,413 | $190,341 | $0 | $782,076 |
| 1994 | $294,110 | $139,923 | $200,376 | $0 | $220,779 |
| 1992 | $28,204 | $71,132 | $46,190 | $0 | $885 |
| 1990 | $1,509,288 | $1,420,172 | $89,118 | $0 | $660,116 |
Elections
- 1990 general senate Β· NH-S β won
- 1996 general senate Β· NH-S β won
- 1996 general senate Β· NH-S β won
- 1996 general senate Β· NH-S β won
- 2002 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2002 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2002 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2002 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2002 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· NH-S β running
Committees
- BOB SMITH FOR U S SENATE β principal Β· type S
- BOB SMITH VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL LEADERSHIP β independent Β· type U
- FRIENDS OF SENATOR BOB SMITH β principal Β· type S
- REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990 β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- SMITH TEAM EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE β principal Β· type S
- W/N 2001 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- W/N 2002 C0MMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | POLITICAL COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 2002 C0MMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BOB SMITH VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 2001 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | SMITH TEAM EXPLORATORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF SENATOR BOB SMITH | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BOB SMITH FOR U S SENATE | β | candidate_committees |