HODES, PAUL W
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S0NH00227- Internal id
ab8e19b3-1024-425b-be4d-d19c578ac43b- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New Hampshire. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,394,868 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,031 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $52,798 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.444 |
| Race | White alone | 87.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.1% |
| Household | Family households | 64.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $402,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,491 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $22,695 | $47,333 | $181 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $4,939,739 | $4,912,819 | $24,819 | $0 | $3,772,079 |
Elections
- 2010 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2010 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2010 general senate Β· NH-S β running
Committees
- 4 SENATE VICTORY β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER FUTURE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- HODES FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
- MISSOURI NEW HAMPSHIRE VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- MOVING NH FORWARD β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- NEW HAMPSHIRE SENATE VICTORY 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- NEW HAMPSHIRE VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- SECURE OUR SENATE 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- SENATE 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- WIN2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (10)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NEW HAMPSHIRE VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NEW HAMPSHIRE SENATE VICTORY 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MISSOURI NEW HAMPSHIRE VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MOVING NH FORWARD | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WIN2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SECURE OUR SENATE 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 4 SENATE VICTORY | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER FUTURE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | HODES FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |