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MESSNER, BRYANT 'CORKY' S.

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S0NH00334
Internal id
978f5807-37a3-4c7b-8214-ad8c0f15ccf4
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New Hampshire. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation1,394,868
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$99,031
IncomePer-capita income$52,798
IncomeIn poverty7.3%
IncomeUnemployed3.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.444
RaceWhite alone87.9%
RaceBlack alone1.5%
RaceAsian alone2.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.7%
RaceTwo or more races6.4%
OriginForeign-born6.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home92.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.6%
EducationHigh school or higher67.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher40.6%
EducationAdvanced degree16.1%
HouseholdFamily households64.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.44
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.5%
HousingMedian home value$402,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,491
HousingSingle-family detached63.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.4%
HousingVacant units14.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.6%
HealthWith a disability13.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.8%
CommuteDrove alone72.0%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home16.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$226,227$284,527$0$0$137
2020$7,150,053$7,091,753$58,300$793,430$1,011,802

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$8
2021-04-26WINRED24K$20
2021-03-10PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$2,500
2021-02-04WINRED24K$5
2021-01-23WINRED24K$25
2021-01-19WINRED24K$10
2021-01-06WINRED24K$2

Connected on the graph

Inbound (14)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScommittee_contributed_to_candidate$824Afec_pas2
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$8pas2
2021-04-26WINREDcontributed_to$20pas2
2021-04-26WINREDcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2024Kfec_pas2
2021-03-10PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-03-10PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2,50024Afec_pas2
2021-02-04WINREDcontributed_to$5pas2
2021-02-04WINREDcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$524Kfec_pas2
2021-01-23WINREDcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2524Kfec_pas2
2021-01-23WINREDcontributed_to$25pas2
2021-01-19WINREDcontributed_to$10pas2
2021-01-19WINREDcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$1024Kfec_pas2
2021-01-06WINREDcontributed_to$2pas2
2021-01-06WINREDcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$224Kfec_pas2

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofMESSNER FOR SENATEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofNEW HAMPSHIRE SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND - CORKY MESSNERβ€”candidate_committees

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