CLARKSON, GAVIN
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S0NM00066- Internal id
52b59dd4-4755-4304-aa33-b6bfea5d8ff7- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New Mexico. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 2,120,246 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,059 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,218 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 47.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 48.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 25.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 24.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.9% |
| Household | Family households | 60.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $248,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,067 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $7,437 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $1,302,445 | $1,295,008 | $7,437 | $0 | $1,254,970 |
Elections
- 2020 general senate Β· NM-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· NM-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· NM-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· NM-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· NM-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· NM-S β lost_general
Committees
- GAVIN CLARKSON FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-31 | HSP DIRECT LLC PAC HSP PAC | 24K | $-250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-31 | HSP DIRECT LLC PAC HSP PAC | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | GAVIN CLARKSON FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |