MANCHIN, JOE III
D · senate · bioguide M001183
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- FEC candidate id
S0WV00090- Internal id
2f1cceb4-0a25-4fcd-ad9d-f585a39969b9- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), West Virginia. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,778,373 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,608 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,203 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.471 |
| Race | White alone | 90.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 97.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $162,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $872 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 15.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 19.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $2,997,446 | $4,062,595 | $8,472,361 | $0 | $718,032 |
| 2022 | $8,181,291 | $1,103,842 | $9,537,510 | $0 | $6,745,729 |
| 2020 | $744,355 | $575,122 | $2,460,062 | $0 | $174,055 |
| 2018 | $8,420,592 | $7,802,323 | $2,290,829 | $0 | $5,732,531 |
| 2016 | $598,103 | $359,290 | $1,672,560 | $0 | $123,082 |
| 2014 | $482,734 | $837,286 | $1,433,745 | $0 | $169,717 |
| 2012 | $5,071,896 | $3,660,906 | $1,788,297 | $0 | $2,632,422 |
| 2010 | $4,395,107 | $4,017,802 | $377,306 | $1,078 | $3,207,477 |
Elections
- 2010 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2010 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2010 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2010 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2010 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2012 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2018 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — running
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — won
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · WV-S — lost_general
Committees
- BLUE SENATE 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
- MANCHIN HEINRICH VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
- MANCHIN VICTORY 2012 — joint_fundraising · type N
- SENATE 2018 IMPACT — joint_fundraising · type S
- SENATE IMPACT WV & MT — joint_fundraising · type S
- SENATE IMPACT: MO & WV — joint_fundraising · type S
- SENATE IMPACT: ND & WV — joint_fundraising · type S
- WEST VIRGINIA PAC — principal · type V
- WEST VIRGINIA PAC — independent · type V
Recent votes
- 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 339
NOT_VOTING on HR 10545 — American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 338
NOT_VOTING on HR 82 — Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 337
NOT_VOTING on HR 82 — Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 336
NOT_VOTING on Amendment Rejected (34-62, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 335
NOT_VOTING on Amendment Rejected (32-64, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 334
NOT_VOTING on Amendment Rejected (28-67, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 333
NOT_VOTING on Amendment Rejected (3-93, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 332
NOT_VOTING on Nomination Confirmed (49-47) - 2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 331
NOT_VOTING on Cloture Motion Agreed to (49-47) - 2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 330
NOT_VOTING on Nomination Confirmed (49-47)
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor · 2024-09-19 — S 4267 — A bill to prohibit Big Cypress National Preserve from being designated as wilderness or as a component of the National Wilderness Preservation System, and for other purposes.
- cosponsor · 2023-06-22 — S 2158 — Restore VA Accountability Act of 2023
- cosponsor · 2023-06-14 — S 1973 — All-American Flag Act
- cosponsor · 2023-03-22 — S 912 — Mining Schools Act of 2023
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $354,136 | $2,750 | 4 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-14 | UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNIT… | support | $353,136 | Television advertisement |
| 2022-01-18 | PRESSURE PAC | oppose | $1,000 | Digital Advertisement; IE-Only Account |
| 2021-12-09 | PRESSURE PAC | support | $1,000 | Digital Advertisement; IE-Only Account |
| 2021-06-11 | PRESSURE PAC | oppose | $1,750 | Digital Advertisement; IE-Only Account |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (13)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | WEST VIRGINIA PAC | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE IMPACT: MO & WV | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE 2018 IMPACT | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MANCHIN HEINRICH VICTORY FUND | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE IMPACT WV & MT | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | independent_committee_of | WEST VIRGINIA PAC | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MANCHIN VICTORY 2012 | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE IMPACT: ND & WV | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BLUE SENATE 2018 | — | candidate_committees | |
| 2024-09-19 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 4267 — A bill to prohibit Big Cypress National Preserve from being designated as wilderness or as | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-06-22 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 2158 — Restore VA Accountability Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-06-14 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 1973 — All-American Flag Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-03-22 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 912 — Mining Schools Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |