BEQUETTE, JAKE MR.
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2AR00107- Internal id
7b05f463-5b3f-4e13-8086-3d7e429092e0- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arkansas. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 3,049,391 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,773 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,225 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.479 |
| Race | White alone | 69.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 14.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.46 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $188,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $947 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $183 | $14,954 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $4,620 | $183 | $14,954 | $0 |
| 2022 | $1,395,154 | $1,390,351 | $4,803 | $14,954 | $1,347,651 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· AR-S β running
Committees
- BEQUETTE FOR ARKANSAS β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $2,100,807 | $1,323,912 | 14 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-18 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | oppose | $90,000 | Television Advertising |
| 2022-05-13 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | oppose | $450,000 | Television Advertising |
| 2022-05-13 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | oppose | $55,972 | Direct Mail |
| 2022-05-12 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | support | $229,623 | TV/Cable Media Buy |
| 2022-05-12 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | oppose | $150,000 | Television Advertising |
| 2022-05-11 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | support | $400,000 | TV/Cable Media Buy |
| 2022-04-29 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | oppose | $374,990 | Television Advertising |
| 2022-04-26 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | oppose | $50,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-04-25 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | support | $301,903 | TV/Cable Media Buy |
| 2022-04-22 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | oppose | $152,950 | Television Advertising |
| 2022-04-12 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | support | $301,344 | TV media buy |
| 2022-03-09 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | support | $14,490 | TV ad production |
| 2022-02-22 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | support | $11,800 | TV ad production |
| 2022-02-04 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | support | $841,648 | TV/Cable Media Buy |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-31 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | 24K | $2,147 |
| 2022-05-31 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-05-25 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-05-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-05-18 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | 24A | $90,000 |
| 2022-05-13 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | 24A | $55,972 |
| 2022-05-13 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | 24A | $450,000 |
| 2022-05-12 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | 24E | $229,622 |
| 2022-05-12 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | 24A | $150,000 |
| 2022-05-11 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | 24E | $400,000 |
| 2022-05-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-05-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-04-29 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | 24A | $374,990 |
| 2022-04-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-04-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-04-26 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | 24A | $50,000 |
| 2022-04-25 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | 24E | $301,902 |
| 2022-04-22 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | 24A | $152,950 |
| 2022-04-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-04-12 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | 24E | $301,343 |
| 2022-04-05 | WINRED | 24K | $-2,900 |
| 2022-03-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-2,900 |
| 2022-03-11 | WINRED | 24K | $-1,000 |
| 2022-03-09 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | 24E | $14,490 |
| 2022-02-22 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | 24E | $11,800 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (49)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-31 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $2,147 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-31 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-18 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | contributed_to | $90,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-18 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $90,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-13 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | contributed_to | $450,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-13 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $55,972 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-13 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | contributed_to | $55,972 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-13 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $450,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-12 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $229,622 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $150,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-12 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | contributed_to | $150,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | supports_independently | $229,623 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-11 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $400,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-11 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | supports_independently | $400,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $374,990 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | contributed_to | $374,990 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-26 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | contributed_to | $50,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-25 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | supports_independently | $301,903 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-25 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $301,902 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-22 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $152,950 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | contributed_to | $152,950 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-12 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $301,343 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-12 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | supports_independently | $301,344 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-09 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $14,490 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-09 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | supports_independently | $14,490 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-02-22 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | supports_independently | $11,800 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-02-22 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $11,800 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-04 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | supports_independently | $841,648 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-02-04 | ARKANSAS PATRIOTS FUND | contributed_to | $841,647 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-8,700 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BEQUETTE FOR ARKANSAS | β | candidate_committees |