RUSH, BRIAN
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2FL00748- Internal id
395a859a-8549-4ab8-a406-f3b3d8b5edc4- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Florida. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 22,416,077 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $74,568 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,609 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.485 |
| Race | White alone | 55.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 27.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 21.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 69.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 22.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.9% |
| Household | Family households | 64.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.51 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $359,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,669 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $49,764 | $49,764 | $0 | $264 | $35,400 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· FL-S β lost_general
Committees
- BRIAN RUSH FOR US SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $433,964 | $0 | 6 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-22 | JOSEPH RUSH | support | $10,000 | Digital Media |
| 2022-08-09 | JOSEPH RUSH | support | $150,585 | Television Ads |
| 2022-08-03 | JOSEPH RUSH | support | $50,035 | Digital Media |
| 2022-08-03 | JOSEPH RUSH | support | $117,039 | Printing + USPS Mailings |
| 2022-07-29 | JOSEPH RUSH | support | $103,304 | Digital Media/Texting |
| 2022-07-29 | JOSEPH RUSH | support | $3,001 | Voter Info Data |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-18 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $-6,830 |
| 2022-10-18 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $6,830 |
| 2022-09-19 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $4,612 |
| 2022-08-22 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $10,000 |
| 2022-08-09 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $150,585 |
| 2022-08-03 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $117,038 |
| 2022-08-03 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $50,035 |
| 2022-07-29 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $103,303 |
| 2022-07-29 | JOSEPH RUSH | 24E | $3,001 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (15)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-18 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $-6,830 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-18 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $6,830 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-19 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $4,612 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-22 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $10,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-22 | JOSEPH RUSH | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-09 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $150,585 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-09 | JOSEPH RUSH | supports_independently | $150,585 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-03 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $117,038 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-03 | JOSEPH RUSH | supports_independently | $117,039 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-03 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $50,035 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-03 | JOSEPH RUSH | supports_independently | $50,035 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-29 | JOSEPH RUSH | supports_independently | $103,304 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-29 | JOSEPH RUSH | supports_independently | $3,001 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-29 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $3,001 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-29 | JOSEPH RUSH | contributed_to | $103,303 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRIAN RUSH FOR US SENATE | β | candidate_committees |