WALKER, BRADLEY MARK MR.
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2NC00307- Internal id
9e2796c2-3b3c-4800-bc47-47f4ef15e0fb- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), North Carolina. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 10,730,404 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,388 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,385 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 61.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 20.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $288,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,228 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $826,948 | $849,590 | $0 | $0 | $774,677 |
| 2022 | $835,232 | $1,650,777 | $22,643 | $0 | $784,936 |
| 2020 | $893,357 | $788,986 | $838,187 | $0 | $601,457 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NC-S β lost_general
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
- 2028 general senate Β· NC-S β running
Committees
- WALKER 4 NC β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $160,348 | $339,676 | 11 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $299 | TV ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-05-05 | AWAKE CAROLINA | support | $3,673 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $9,855 | TV ad production (added to previously reported placement) |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $36 | tv ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-04-27 | AWAKE CAROLINA | support | $151,075 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2022-04-27 | AWAKE CAROLINA | support | $5,600 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2022-04-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $174 | tv ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $171,675 | TV ad placement |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $147,413 | TV ad placement |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $10,213 | TV ad production |
| 2022-01-28 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $11 | internet communications (from advance line 21) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. PAC (UPSPAC) | 24K | $-5,000 |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $299 |
| 2022-05-05 | AWAKE CAROLINA | 24E | $3,673 |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $35 |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $9,855 |
| 2022-04-27 | AWAKE CAROLINA | 24E | $5,600 |
| 2022-04-27 | AWAKE CAROLINA | 24E | $151,075 |
| 2022-04-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $174 |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $171,675 |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $10,213 |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $147,412 |
| 2022-04-01 | AWAKE CAROLINA | 24E | $1,043 |
| 2022-03-26 | AWAKE CAROLINA | 24E | $1,043 |
| 2022-01-28 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $10 |
| 2022-01-25 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-25 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-25 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-14 | IN THE ARENA PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-01-03 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2021-12-08 | WINRED | 24K | $-2,900 |
| 2021-12-03 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2021-12-01 | WINRED | 24K | $-2,900 |
| 2021-11-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2021-10-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2021-10-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (74)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. PAC (UPSPAC) | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | AWAKE CAROLINA | supports_independently | $3,673 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-05 | AWAKE CAROLINA | contributed_to | $3,673 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $299 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $299 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $36 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $9,855 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $9,855 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | AWAKE CAROLINA | supports_independently | $5,600 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | AWAKE CAROLINA | contributed_to | $151,075 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | AWAKE CAROLINA | supports_independently | $151,075 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | AWAKE CAROLINA | contributed_to | $5,600 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $174 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-20 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $174 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $10,213 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $147,412 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $147,413 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $171,675 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $171,675 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-18 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $10,213 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-01 | AWAKE CAROLINA | contributed_to | $1,043 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-26 | AWAKE CAROLINA | contributed_to | $1,043 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-28 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $11 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-01-28 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | IN THE ARENA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,300 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-60 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-27 | PETE KING FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-14 | RATCLIFFE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-30 | CAMPAIGN FOR WORKING FAMILIES | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-03 | PETE KING FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-26 | CREATING A MAJORITY PARTY ACTION COMMITTEE (C.A.M.P.A.C.) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $200 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $200 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-30 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-18 | THE CIGNA GROUP EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $7 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $200 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2020-12-28 | BILL FLORES FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | WALKER 4 NC | β | candidate_committees |