MORSE, CHUCK
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2NH00249- Internal id
956df012-2096-40e8-82c7-da812477e82c- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New Hampshire. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,394,868 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,031 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $52,798 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.444 |
| Race | White alone | 87.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.1% |
| Household | Family households | 64.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $402,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,491 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $8,524 | $118,100 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $1,796,735 | $1,687,159 | $109,576 | $343,000 | $1,415,328 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· NH-S β lost_general
- 2026 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NH-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· NH-S β running
Committees
- FRIENDS OF CHUCK MORSE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $4,693,073 | $6,362,047 | 24 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | SMP | oppose | $10,350 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | WHITE MOUNTAIN PAC | support | $4,609,724 | Media Placement |
| β | WHITE MOUNTAIN PAC | support | $14,637 | Media Production |
| β | SMP | oppose | $276,160 | Digital Ad Buy - Estimate |
| β | SMP | oppose | $10,350 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | SMP | oppose | $2,807,091 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | SMP | oppose | $233,924 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | GRANITE STATE PROSPERITY PAC | support | $40,000 | Digital Advertising |
| β | SMP | oppose | $276,160 | Digital Ad Buy - Estimate |
| β | SMP | oppose | $2,573,167 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| 2022-09-13 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | support | $1,000 | GOTV VOTER PHONE CALLS (ESTIMATED) |
| 2022-09-13 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | support | $1,000 | GOTV VOTER PHONE CALLS |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | support | $10,000 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | support | $212 | EMAIL MARKETING |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | support | $1,500 | PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL AD |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | support | $7,500 | VOTER PHONE CALLS (ESTIMATED) |
| 2022-09-10 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | support | $7,500 | VOTER PHONE CALLS (ESTIMATED) |
| 2022-09-09 | STAND FOR NH PAC | oppose | $500 | Digital Marketing |
| 2022-08-25 | DSCC | oppose | $67,094 | Media Buy |
| 2022-08-18 | DSCC | oppose | $33,006 | Media Buy |
| 2022-08-11 | DSCC | oppose | $33,006 | Media Buy |
| 2022-08-08 | DSCC | oppose | $1,833 | Media Production |
| 2022-08-08 | DSCC | oppose | $6,400 | Media Production |
| 2022-08-05 | DSCC | oppose | $33,006 | Media Buy |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (73)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | WHITE MOUNTAIN PAC | supports_independently | $4,609,724 | fec_ies | |
| β | WHITE MOUNTAIN PAC | supports_independently | $14,637 | fec_ies | |
| β | SMP | opposes_independently | $10,350 | fec_ies | |
| β | SMP | opposes_independently | $2,807,091 | fec_ies | |
| β | SMP | opposes_independently | $233,924 | fec_ies | |
| β | SMP | opposes_independently | $10,350 | fec_ies | |
| β | SMP | opposes_independently | $2,573,167 | fec_ies | |
| β | SMP | opposes_independently | $276,160 | fec_ies | |
| β | SMP | opposes_independently | $276,160 | fec_ies | |
| β | GRANITE STATE PROSPERITY PAC | supports_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-28 | SMP | contributed_to | $10,349 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-21 | GRANITE STATE PROSPERITY PAC | contributed_to | $40,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-13 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-13 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-13 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-12 | NATIONAL RETAIL FEDERATION RETAILPAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | contributed_to | $212 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | supports_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | contributed_to | $10,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | supports_independently | $212 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-10 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-10 | FUTURE LEADERS FUND | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-09 | STAND FOR NH PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-09 | STAND FOR NH PAC | opposes_independently | $500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-08 | ASSOCIATED GENERAL CONTRACTORS OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-06 | WHITE MOUNTAIN PAC | contributed_to | $14,637 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-06 | STAND FOR NH PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-02 | SMP | contributed_to | $276,160 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-02 | SUSAN B. ANTHONY LIST. INC. CANDIDATE FUND (DBA SUSAN B. ANTHONY PRO-LIFE AMERICA CANDIDATE FUND) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-01 | SMP | contributed_to | $2,573,167 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-01 | SMP | contributed_to | $233,924 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-31 | WHITE MOUNTAIN PAC | contributed_to | $4,609,724 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-25 | DSCC | opposes_independently | $67,094 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-25 | DSCC | contributed_to | $67,094 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-25 | CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-23 | INDEPENDENT INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (INSURPAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-22 | ASSOCIATED GENERAL CONTRACTORS OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | DSCC | contributed_to | $33,005 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | DSCC | opposes_independently | $33,006 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | DSCC | contributed_to | $33,005 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | DSCC | opposes_independently | $33,006 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-08 | DSCC | opposes_independently | $1,833 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-08 | DSCC | contributed_to | $6,400 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | DSCC | contributed_to | $1,833 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | DSCC | opposes_independently | $6,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-05 | DSCC | opposes_independently | $33,006 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-05 | DSCC | contributed_to | $33,005 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-07 | ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-23 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF WHOLESALER-DISTRIBUTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-17 | STRONG COUNTRY FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF CHUCK MORSE | β | candidate_committees |