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PINION, JOSEPH III

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S2NY00499
Internal id
7a54ae86-5a86-4408-a990-1d762b2b8094
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New York. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation19,852,366
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$85,974
IncomePer-capita income$50,712
IncomeIn poverty14.0%
IncomeUnemployed6.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.517
RaceWhite alone55.2%
RaceBlack alone14.3%
RaceAsian alone9.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino19.8%
RaceTwo or more races10.3%
OriginForeign-born22.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home69.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home14.8%
EducationHigh school or higher64.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher40.2%
EducationAdvanced degree17.9%
HouseholdFamily households61.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.49
HouseholdNever married (15+)38.9%
HousingMedian home value$423,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,621
HousingSingle-family detached41.1%
HousingBuilt before 19407.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)5.3%
HousingVacant units10.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.7%
HealthWith a disability12.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.8%
CommuteDrove alone48.8%
CommutePublic transit21.6%
CommuteWorked from home14.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$0$612$78,576$0
2024$1,467$32,461$612$78,576$1,467
2022$592,671$561,065$31,606$78,576$567,659

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-250
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-15
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-09WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-03WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-03WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-02WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-02WINRED24K$-5
2022-11-26WINRED24K$-10
2022-11-23WINRED24K$-2
2022-11-19WINRED24K$-30
2022-11-18WINRED24K$-35
2022-11-17WINRED24K$-5
2022-11-17WINRED24K$-5
2022-11-17WINRED24K$-5
2022-11-17WINRED24K$-5
2022-11-15WINRED24K$-5
2022-11-14WINRED24K$-25
2022-11-14WINRED24K$-1
2022-11-10WINRED24K$-50
2022-11-10WINRED24K$-25
2022-11-10WINRED24K$-20
2022-11-10WINRED24K$-5
2022-11-10WINRED24K$-15

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-250pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-03WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-03WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-19WINREDcontributed_to$-30pas2
2022-11-18WINREDcontributed_to$-35pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-15WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-09WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-07WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-07WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-07MILLER-MEEKS FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-11-06WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-06WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-06WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-03WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-02WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-01WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-01WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-01WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-01WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-10-31WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-10-28WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-10-26WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-10-24WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-10-14WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-10-07WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-10-04WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-10-03WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-09-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-09-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-09-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-09-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-09-22WINREDcontributed_to$-75pas2
2022-09-22WINREDcontributed_to$-75pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-09-19WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-09-15ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN PHYSICIANS AND SURGEONS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAPS-PAC)contributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-09-14WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-09-07WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-09-07WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-09-05WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-08-30BADLANDS PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-08-29WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-08-27WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-08-27WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-08-27WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-08-27WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-08-27WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-08-23WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-08-19WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-08-16WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-08-15NEW YORK STATE CONSERVATIVE PARTYcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-08-15WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-08-12MAVERICK PAC USAcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-08-09WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-08-04SAVE THE SENATEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-08-03STRATEGY PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-07-27WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-07-23WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-07-22WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-07-16WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-07-05WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-07-02WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-06-29LETS GET TO WORK PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-06-29WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-06-29WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-06-27WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-06-14WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-06-09WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-05-03WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-03-31NEW YORK STATE CONSERVATIVE PARTYcontributed_to$500pas2
2022-03-31NY REPUBLICAN FEDERAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofJOE PINION FOR US SENATE INCβ€”candidate_committees

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