DOLAN, MATT
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2OH00477- Internal id
27379a50-d374-45ed-a959-5e536318b7dc- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Ohio. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 11,810,293 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,389 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,552 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.467 |
| Race | White alone | 76.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.2% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $214,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,034 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $908 | $67,502 | $46,540 | $12,697,000 | $0 |
| 2024 | $12,722,613 | $12,656,069 | $113,134 | $12,697,000 | $2,365,742 |
| 2022 | $11,296,099 | $11,249,509 | $46,590 | $2,607,000 | $663,775 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· OH-S β lost_general
Committees
- DOLAN FOR OHIO β principal Β· type S
- DOLAN FOR OHIO22 β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3,129,767 | $3,172,118 | 40 |
| 2022 | $3,728,467 | $28,275 | 26 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | support | $15,000 | DIGITAL MEDIA AND RADIO PRODUCTION |
| 2024-03-19 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | support | $19,670 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-03-18 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | oppose | $50,000 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-03-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $78 | Phone/Text messaging (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-03-15 | CONSTITUTIONAL CONSERVATIVES FUND | oppose | $84,000 | Texting |
| 2024-03-15 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | support | $500,035 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-15 | BUCKEYE LEADERSHIP FUND, INC. | support | $80,280 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-03-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $13,666 | Phone/Text Messaging |
| 2024-03-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $100 | data analytics |
| 2024-03-14 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $80 | TV ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $26,440 | Digital ad placement |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $1,614 | Digital ad production |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $519,918 | TV ad placement |
| 2024-03-13 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $80 | TV ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $7,226 | Digital ad placement |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $319 | digital ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-03-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $359 | TV ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-03-12 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | support | $196,022 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-12 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | support | $10,015 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-03-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $47 | Radio ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-03-11 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $380,400 | TV ad placement |
| 2024-03-11 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $25,947 | Radio ad placement |
| 2024-03-11 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $10,181 | TV ad production |
| 2024-03-11 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | support | $1,201,649 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-03-11 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $519,650 | TV ad placement |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-19 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $19,670 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-18 | BUCKEYE VALUES PAC | opposes_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-15 | CONSTITUTIONAL CONSERVATIVES FUND | opposes_independently | $84,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $100 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-15 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $500,035 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $13,666 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-15 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $80,280 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-15 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $78 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-14 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $80 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-13 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $80 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $519,918 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $26,440 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $319 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $1,614 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-13 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $7,226 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $47 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-12 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $10,015 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-12 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $196,022 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-12 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $359 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-11 | DEFEND OHIO VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $1,201,649 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-11 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $519,650 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-11 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $10,181 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-11 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $25,947 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-11 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $380,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-08 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $292 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-08 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $800 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-07 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $516,667 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-06 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $380,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $148 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-06 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $99 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-06 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $10,107 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-05 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $475,533 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-04 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $4,302 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $900,050 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $1,325 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-04 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $25,947 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-02 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $167 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-01 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $198,335 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-01 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $15,144 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $124,793 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-01 | GRANGE MUTUAL HOLDING CO. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO | opposes_independently | $10,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-28 | BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO | contributed_to | $10,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $7,790 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $7,790 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $5,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-22 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $607,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $500,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-21 | BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO | opposes_independently | $900 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-21 | BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO | contributed_to | $900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $500,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $607,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-19 | BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO | contributed_to | $16,875 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-19 | BUCKEYES FOR A STRONG OHIO | opposes_independently | $16,875 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-18 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $427,711 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-18 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $427,711 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-12 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-12 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $5,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-08 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $248,919 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $248,919 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-06 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $77,866 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-06 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $77,867 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-06 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $77,867 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-05 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $18,634 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-05 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $18,634 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-05 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $18,634 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-28 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $96,901 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-28 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $96,901 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-28 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $96,901 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-21 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $96,901 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-21 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $96,901 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-21 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $96,901 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-17 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-17 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-15 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $75,566 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-15 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $75,566 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-15 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $248,519 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-15 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $248,519 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-11 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $15,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-10 | M/I HOMES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-08 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $248,519 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-08 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $248,519 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-02-28 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $248,519 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-28 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $248,519 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-02-23 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $246,519 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-23 | BUCKEYE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $246,519 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | AMERICA'S PROMISE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DOLAN FOR OHIO22 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DOLAN FOR OHIO | β | candidate_committees |