SANDS, CARLA H

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S2PA00554
Internal id: 1a6edd97-3ba0-4ca3-9055-328a433e494f
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Pennsylvania. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	13,018,639
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$77,971
Income	Per-capita income	$44,355
Income	In poverty	11.7%
Income	Unemployed	5.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.474
Race	White alone	74.5%
Race	Black alone	10.7%
Race	Asian alone	3.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.7%
Race	Two or more races	7.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	87.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	5.6%
Education	High school or higher	68.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.2%
Education	Advanced degree	14.3%
Household	Family households	62.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.39
Household	Never married (15+)	34.6%
Housing	Median home value	$254,500
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,209
Housing	Single-family detached	56.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	7.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	9.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.1%
Health	With a disability	14.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.9%
Commute	Drove alone	68.2%
Commute	Public transit	3.6%
Commute	Worked from home	15.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$8,856,511	$8,856,511	$0	$0	$768,845

Elections

2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · PA-S — lost_general

Committees

SANDS FOR SENATE — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-05	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,100
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-1,000
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-1,000
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-1,000
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-378
2022-05-22	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-05-20	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-05-20	WINRED	24K	$-10

Connected on the graph

Inbound (45)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-06-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,100	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-378	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-900	pas2
2022-05-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-05-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-05-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-05-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-05-18	PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-05-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-05-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-05-03	MARTIN MARKS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-27	PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC	contributed_to	$288	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-04-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-04-11	PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC	contributed_to	$109	pas2
2022-03-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-03-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-200	pas2
2022-01-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2021-12-07	AMERICAN CHIROPRACTIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-11-16	STRONG COUNTRY FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-10-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2021-09-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5,800	pas2
2021-09-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2021-08-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2021-07-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SANDS FOR SENATE	—		candidate_committees

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