MITCHELL, NICHOLAS
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S2UT00310- Internal id
fc1e1bce-7271-4308-b9b1-27e7c716b43a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Utah. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 3,392,331 |
| People | Median age | 32 |
| Income | Median household income | $95,166 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,873 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.427 |
| Race | White alone | 78.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.0% |
| Household | Family households | 72.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.97 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $489,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,496 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $21,255 | $15,619 | $5,636 | $0 | $19,298 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· UT-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· UT-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-12 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-12 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |