GREYWOLF, JUSTIN
I Β· senate
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
S2WA00403- Internal id
77196d78-edc7-4fec-a48a-89d24cafb100- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Washington. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 7,816,116 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $98,141 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,744 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 65.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 15.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.6% |
| Household | Family households | 63.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $564,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,760 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 61.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 63.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $5,720 | $5,661 | $-14 | $0 | $5,135 |
Elections
- 2022 general senate Β· WA-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· WA-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· WA-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· WA-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· WA-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 13.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.