EARLY, ERIC
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4CA00639- Internal id
1e37d397-1cba-4f3a-9c73-4614ff800d6a- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), California. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 39,287,377 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,122 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,513 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.489 |
| Race | White alone | 39.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 15.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 40.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 55.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 28.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.4% |
| Household | Family households | 67.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.84 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $734,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,036 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 57.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $450 | $1,615 | $160,636 | $0 |
| 2024 | $904,179 | $902,114 | $2,065 | $160,636 | $678,321 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· CA-S β lost_general
Committees
- ERIC EARLY FOR U.S. SENATE 2024 β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $46,210 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | OVRSITE PAC | oppose | $9,000 | Ad Production |
| 2024-03-01 | OVRSITE PAC | oppose | $37,210 | TV Ad Buy |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | OVRSITE PAC | opposes_independently | $9,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-01 | OVRSITE PAC | opposes_independently | $37,210 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ERIC EARLY FOR U.S. SENATE 2024 | β | candidate_committees |