WEBSTER, DANIEL

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S4FL00256
Internal id: 86e9304e-a7da-406d-affd-7406c90bb2be
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Florida. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	22,416,077
People	Median age	43
Income	Median household income	$74,568
Income	Per-capita income	$42,609
Income	In poverty	12.6%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.485
Race	White alone	55.9%
Race	Black alone	15.1%
Race	Asian alone	2.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	27.4%
Race	Two or more races	19.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	21.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	69.4%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	22.6%
Education	High school or higher	61.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.1%
Education	Advanced degree	12.9%
Household	Family households	64.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.51
Household	Never married (15+)	31.7%
Housing	Median home value	$359,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,669
Housing	Single-family detached	54.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.3%
Housing	Vacant units	14.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.4%
Health	With a disability	13.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.5%
Commute	Drove alone	70.2%
Commute	Public transit	1.2%
Commute	Worked from home	15.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2010	$0	$12,807	$0	$0	$0
2008	$0	$14,000	$12,807	$0	$0
2006	$0	$9,000	$26,807	$0	$0
2004	$800,429	$764,482	$35,807	$0	$769,384

Elections

2004 general senate · FL-S — running
2004 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2004 general senate · FL-S — running
2004 general senate · FL-S — lost_general
2004 general senate · FL-S — lost_general

Committees

DANIEL WEBSTER FOR US SENATE — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$1,765	$0	2

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-08-16	CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICANS FOR RESPONSIBLE REPRES…	support	$1,590	Advertising
2022-08-11	CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICANS FOR RESPONSIBLE REPRES…	support	$175	Advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-06-27	CROWLEY MARITIME CORPORATION FEDERAL PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-14	MAYNARD NEXSEN PAC	24K	$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

date	from	type	amount	source
2025-06-27	CROWLEY MARITIME CORPORATION FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-14	MAYNARD NEXSEN PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-16	CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICANS FOR RESPONSIBLE REPRESENTATION	supports_independently	$1,590	fec_ies
2022-08-11	CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICANS FOR RESPONSIBLE REPRESENTATION	supports_independently	$175	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DANIEL WEBSTER FOR US SENATE	—		candidate_committees

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