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CAPPARELL, CHRIS

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S4GA11384
Internal id
27d96982-9a6d-438b-8689-b0eca5bdd8db
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Georgia. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation10,940,407
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$77,353
IncomePer-capita income$40,924
IncomeIn poverty13.4%
IncomeUnemployed5.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.477
RaceWhite alone51.0%
RaceBlack alone31.1%
RaceAsian alone4.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.0%
RaceTwo or more races8.3%
OriginForeign-born11.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home84.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.6%
EducationHigh school or higher61.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.0%
EducationAdvanced degree13.9%
HouseholdFamily households66.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.62
HouseholdNever married (15+)35.5%
HousingMedian home value$303,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,393
HousingSingle-family detached66.3%
HousingBuilt before 19402.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units10.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.2%
HealthWith a disability13.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.6%
CommuteDrove alone70.9%
CommutePublic transit1.1%
CommuteWorked from home15.9%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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