DEATON, JOHN
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4MA00358- Internal id
d9086273-5e3e-4354-93e4-fd7c27fdaa56- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Massachusetts. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 7,044,056 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $103,960 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,897 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.489 |
| Race | White alone | 68.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 18.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 74.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 21.8% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $562,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,762 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 61.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 6.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $38 | $48,374 | $0 | $0 | $-5 |
| 2024 | $2,244,283 | $2,195,946 | $48,336 | $1,003,302 | $1,147,560 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
Committees
- JOHN DEATON FOR SENATE INC. β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,703,293 | $0 | 17 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $2,231 | Media Production |
| 2024-11-02 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $1,250 | Media Placement |
| 2024-09-19 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $37,500 | Media Placement |
| 2024-09-07 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $814 | Media Production |
| 2024-09-05 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $3,619 | Media Production |
| 2024-09-05 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $325,000 | Media Placement |
| 2024-08-29 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $8,030 | Digital Advertising |
| 2024-08-28 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $38,661 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-08-28 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $21,212 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-08-21 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $4,950 | Media Placement |
| 2024-08-21 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $1,420 | Media Production |
| 2024-08-07 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $144,119 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-08-07 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $296,518 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-08-06 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $9,087 | Media Production |
| 2024-08-06 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $500,000 | Media Placement |
| 2024-07-24 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $4,501 | Media Production |
| 2024-07-24 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | support | $304,382 | Media Placement |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (17)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $2,231 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-02 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-19 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $37,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-07 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $814 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-05 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $3,619 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-05 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $325,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-29 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $8,030 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-28 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $38,661 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-28 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $21,212 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-21 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $4,950 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-21 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $1,420 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-07 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $144,119 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-07 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $296,518 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-06 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $9,087 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-06 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $500,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-24 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $4,501 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-24 | COMMONWEALTH UNITY FUND | supports_independently | $304,382 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN DEATON FOR SENATE INC. | β | candidate_committees |