HOGAN, LARRY

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S4MD00483
Internal id: b7f0ac42-ee8c-4835-9f79-42ea087592c5
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Maryland. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	6,206,011
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$103,678
Income	Per-capita income	$52,979
Income	In poverty	9.4%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.456
Race	White alone	48.2%
Race	Black alone	29.4%
Race	Asian alone	6.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	12.5%
Race	Two or more races	8.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	16.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	78.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	9.6%
Education	High school or higher	66.9%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	43.5%
Education	Advanced degree	20.8%
Household	Family households	65.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.57
Household	Never married (15+)	36.2%
Housing	Median home value	$419,900
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,705
Housing	Single-family detached	51.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.5%
Housing	Vacant units	7.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.8%
Health	With a disability	11.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.2%
Commute	Drove alone	64.7%
Commute	Public transit	4.2%
Commute	Worked from home	19.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$142,948	$296,257	$0	$9,357	$19,160
2024	$12,249,553	$12,096,244	$153,310	$718,190	$6,056,833

Elections

2024 general senate · MD-S — running
2024 general senate · MD-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · MD-S — running
2024 general senate · MD-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · MD-S — running
2024 general senate · MD-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · MD-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · MD-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · MD-S — lost_general

Committees

HOGAN FOR MARYLAND INC. — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$1,366,081	$16,153,229	71

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$1,803,248	Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$9,175	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$100,000	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$142,340	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$1,726,877	Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$500	Online Content & Production - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$142,340	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$1,750	Online Content & Production - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$1,350	Online Content & Production - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$19,903	Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$200,000	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	oppose	$7,500	Radio Advertisement - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	oppose	$2,061	Videography - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$284,680	Digital Media Media Buy - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	oppose	$25	Graphic Design - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	oppose	$1,860	Print Advertising - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	oppose	$550	Radio Advertisement - Estimate
—	OLD LINE PAC	support	$40,000	Text Messages
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	oppose	$19	Graphic Design - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$142,340	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	oppose	$198	Staff Time - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$100	Online Content & Production - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	oppose	$12,500	Digital Advertising-Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$142,340	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	oppose	$20,438	Media Production Costs - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-03-19	AMERICAN FINANCIAL SERVICES ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$-5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee HOGAN FOR MARYLAND INC..

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
STEVENS, MARK MR.	RETIRED · RETIRED	WALDORF, MD	1	$25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (72)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$1,090,154	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$4,500	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$500	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$1,350	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$1,750	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$9,175	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$19,903	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$142,340	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$1,803,248	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$20,438	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$99,655	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$345,960	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$1,090,154	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$11,300	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$817,616	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$345,960	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$272,539	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$8,075	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$918,792	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$345,960	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$22,193	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$142,340	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$142,340	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$284,680	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$142,340	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$200,000	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$1,726,877	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	opposes_independently	$100	fec_ies
—	OLD LINE LEADERSHIP PAC	supports_independently	$40,000	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$1,860	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$198	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$7,500	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$25	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$550	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$19	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$2,061	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$12,500	fec_ies
2025-03-19	AMERICAN FINANCIAL SERVICES ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2024-10-30	SAVE WESTERN CULTURE	opposes_independently	$17,121	fec_ies
2024-10-30	SAVE WESTERN CULTURE	opposes_independently	$6,250	fec_ies
2024-10-28	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	opposes_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2024-10-28	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2024-10-25	SAVE WESTERN CULTURE	opposes_independently	$6,250	fec_ies
2024-10-25	OLD LINE LEADERSHIP PAC	supports_independently	$102,514	fec_ies
2024-10-25	OLD LINE LEADERSHIP PAC	supports_independently	$125,000	fec_ies
2024-10-24	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$4,750	fec_ies
2024-10-21	UNITY FIRST PAC	opposes_independently	$315,000	fec_ies
2024-10-18	OLD LINE LEADERSHIP PAC	supports_independently	$161,183	fec_ies
2024-10-18	OLD LINE LEADERSHIP PAC	supports_independently	$135,000	fec_ies
2024-10-17	SAVE WESTERN CULTURE	opposes_independently	$91,046	fec_ies
2024-10-15	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$22,193	fec_ies
2024-10-11	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$1,000,280	fec_ies
2024-10-09	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$675	fec_ies
2024-10-07	UPSET THE SETUP	opposes_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2024-10-03	CASA IN ACTION PAC	opposes_independently	$515	fec_ies
2024-09-26	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$22,413	fec_ies
2024-09-25	MARYLAND'S FUTURE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$1,353	fec_ies
2024-09-25	MARYLAND'S FUTURE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$9,366	fec_ies
2024-09-25	MARYLAND'S FUTURE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$493	fec_ies
2024-09-23	HARDWORKING AMERICANS COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$12,400	fec_ies
2024-09-23	AMERICAN ALLIANCE FOR DISABLED CHILDREN PAC	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2024-09-19	MARYLAND'S FUTURE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$318,307	fec_ies
2024-09-19	MARYLAND'S FUTURE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$28,465	fec_ies
2024-09-16	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$2,180,308	fec_ies
2024-09-09	UNITY FIRST PAC	opposes_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2024-09-05	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$15,920	fec_ies
2024-09-04	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$2,180,308	fec_ies
2024-09-01	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS	supports_independently	$350,000	fec_ies
2024-08-06	HARDWORKING AMERICANS COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-07-09	HARDWORKING AMERICANS COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$8,250	fec_ies
2024-06-26	HARDWORKING AMERICANS COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$9,000	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	HOGAN FOR MARYLAND INC.	—		candidate_committees

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