HARPER, FRANK EUGENE HILL
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4MI00553- Internal id
0a7c4118-9e55-452a-bd6d-27ed22e3adc8- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Michigan. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 10,077,761 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,875 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,735 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 73.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $231,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,129 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3,149,519 | $3,149,519 | $0 | $789,999 | $2,010,282 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· MI-S β lost_general
Committees
- HILL HARPER FOR MICHIGAN β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $17,500 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-28 | MOVING MICHIGAN FORWARD | support | $17,500 | Digital Ad Buy (Estimate) |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-28 | MOVING MICHIGAN FORWARD | supports_independently | $17,500 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HILL HARPER FOR MICHIGAN | β | candidate_committees |