ASHCROFT, JOHN D

R · senate · bioguide A000356

FEC candidate id: S4MO00037
Internal id: 3a45cfa3-1c09-45f6-a910-50bc01c307ae
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Missouri. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	6,191,814
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$70,702
Income	Per-capita income	$39,695
Income	In poverty	12.6%
Income	Unemployed	4.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.465
Race	White alone	77.5%
Race	Black alone	11.0%
Race	Asian alone	2.1%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	5.2%
Race	Two or more races	7.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	4.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	93.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.9%
Education	High school or higher	62.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	32.4%
Education	Advanced degree	12.6%
Household	Family households	62.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.40
Household	Never married (15+)	31.7%
Housing	Median home value	$230,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,033
Housing	Single-family detached	70.5%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.7%
Housing	Vacant units	11.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.3%
Health	With a disability	14.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.7%
Commute	Drove alone	74.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.8%
Commute	Worked from home	13.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2006	$0	$1,496	$0	$6,498	$0
2004	$114,300	$113,412	$1,498	$6,498	$114,220
2002	$151,430	$238,368	$613	$6,498	$5,689
2000	$8,925,706	$9,383,581	$87,551	$6,498	$5,584,825
1998	$824,092	$354,264	$545,425	$0	$634,047
1996	$87,775	$130,464	$75,598	$4,094	$79,171
1994	$4,182,215	$4,063,927	$118,287	$4,925	$3,004,156

Elections

1994 general senate · MO-S — won
2000 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MO-S — won
2000 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · MO-S — lost_general

Committees

ASHCROFT 2000 — principal · type S
ASHCROFT VICTORY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type X
GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND — joint_fundraising · type X
RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT 2000 — joint_fundraising · type S
W/N 1999 — joint_fundraising · type S
W/N 2000 COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type S

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (6)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	W/N 2000 COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ASHCROFT VICTORY COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT 2000	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	W/N 1999	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	ASHCROFT 2000	—	candidate_committees

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