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FARMER, NANCY

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S4MO00169
Internal id
8b43b7c1-fa33-493f-8dbf-17fb21ea4c6b
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Missouri. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation6,191,814
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$70,702
IncomePer-capita income$39,695
IncomeIn poverty12.6%
IncomeUnemployed4.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.465
RaceWhite alone77.5%
RaceBlack alone11.0%
RaceAsian alone2.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino5.2%
RaceTwo or more races7.1%
OriginForeign-born4.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home93.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.9%
EducationHigh school or higher62.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher32.4%
EducationAdvanced degree12.6%
HouseholdFamily households62.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.40
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.7%
HousingMedian home value$230,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,033
HousingSingle-family detached70.5%
HousingBuilt before 19404.3%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.7%
HousingVacant units11.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.3%
HealthWith a disability14.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.7%
CommuteDrove alone74.8%
CommutePublic transit0.8%
CommuteWorked from home13.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2006$36,489$84,918$0$0$0
2004$3,600,807$3,553,458$47,349$0$2,975,362

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofFARMER TENENBAUM VICTORY FUNDβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofMISSOURI SENATE 2004β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofNANCY FARMER FOR U S SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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