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BELL, WESLEY

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S4MO00250
Internal id
a2cb62c7-bbeb-4d97-98b5-10877704018c
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Missouri. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation6,191,814
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$70,702
IncomePer-capita income$39,695
IncomeIn poverty12.6%
IncomeUnemployed4.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.465
RaceWhite alone77.5%
RaceBlack alone11.0%
RaceAsian alone2.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino5.2%
RaceTwo or more races7.1%
OriginForeign-born4.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home93.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.9%
EducationHigh school or higher62.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher32.4%
EducationAdvanced degree12.6%
HouseholdFamily households62.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.40
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.7%
HousingMedian home value$230,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,033
HousingSingle-family detached70.5%
HousingBuilt before 19404.3%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.7%
HousingVacant units11.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.3%
HealthWith a disability14.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.7%
CommuteDrove alone74.8%
CommutePublic transit0.8%
CommuteWorked from home13.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$1,903,759$1,100,409$1,237,271$0$1,459,892
2024$5,386,198$4,952,277$433,921$0$5,136,025

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2025-10-22VENABLE PAC (VEN-PAC)24K$1,000
2025-06-23JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS24K$2,500
2025-03-31JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS24K$-1,000
2025-02-28JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2025-10-22VENABLE PAC (VEN-PAC)contributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-06-23JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRScontributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-03-31JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRScontributed_to$-1,000pas2
2025-02-28JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRScontributed_to$1,000pas2

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