WALSH, JOHN E
D Β· senate Β· bioguide W000818
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- FEC candidate id
S4MT00118- Internal id
249f29bf-fbaf-4af9-85c2-fac4f1b345f7- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Montana. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,116,875 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,509 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,711 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 85.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.0% |
| Household | Family households | 60.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $375,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,081 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $170 | $33,100 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $2,997,260 | $2,964,327 | $32,931 | $0 | $2,001,218 |
Elections
- 2014 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· MT-S β won
- 2014 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· MT-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· MT-S β won
Committees
- BIG SKY VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- DEMOCRATIC SENATE VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- MONTANA COURAGE VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- SAVE OUR SENATE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- WALSH FOR MONTANA β principal Β· type S
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- sponsor Β· 2014-08-01 β S 2776 β Ten in Ten Act
- sponsor Β· 2014-07-17 β S 2626 β Fair Share Act of 2014
- sponsor Β· 2014-06-24 β SRES 483 β A resolution establishing a point of order against legislation selling Federal land in order to reduce the deficit.
- sponsor Β· 2014-05-22 β S 2392 β East Rosebud Wild and Scenic Rivers Act
- sponsor Β· 2014-04-11 β S 2256 β Northern Cheyenne Lands Act
- cosponsor β S 1997 β Dry-Redwater Regional Water Authority System Act of 2014
- cosponsor β S 2098 β Yellowstone Community Education Fairness Act
- cosponsor β S 1341 β Cabin Fee Act of 2013
- cosponsor β S 2590 β Lewis and Clark National Historic Trail Interpretive Center Act of 2014
- cosponsor β S 715 β Authorized Rural Water Projects Completion Act
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.